Charlie Cook says yes:
For much of this year, it seemed a near mathematical impossibility that Republicans could score the 10-seat net gain needed to flip the Senate, which is split between 59 Democrats (including two independents who caucus with Democrats and largely vote with the party) and 41 Republicans. As recently as six weeks ago, I wrote in a CongressDailyAM column that a GOP win was "certainly possible" but "still fairly unlikely." Although the "fairly unlikely" part is still valid, the possibility of a GOP takeover is growing.
To be sure, a 10-seat gain for Republicans remains hard.
See Cook's column for a race-by-race breakdown. Bottom line:
With this many races in play, Democrats may have to perform triage and focus their resources on those that remain winnable. That means giving up on the rest.
Of the 18 competitive Senate races (this number doesn't include Vitter, Burr, or the seat in West Virginia), Republicans would need to win 16 to secure a majority, and certainly logic suggests that the odds of achieving this would be long in any remotely normal year. But the operative term is "in a normal year," which this is most certainly not.
Mark Steyn calls the coming tsunami a "tide of revulsion" and believes it may continue to gather strength as more and more Americans wake up to the reality of the Obama disaster. Even the yutes are feeling the bad vibrations.
Doug Mataconis tweets it simply:
The biggest things that will help the GOP in 2010 is that people who voted in 08 will stay home & people who stayed home in 08 will vote.
Thanks to MichelleMalkin.com for the Buzzworthy link.
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